NBA DFS – 10/19/2018

Happy Friday all. We got a 9 game slate today so let’s get it.

CHA @ ORL (+2) o/u 218

CHA: Kemba dropped 41 in their one point loss to the Bucks last game. Now he has another solid matchup against D.J Augustin. Lamb lost some mins to Monk last game so keep an eye out to see if that trend continues. He is still fairly cheap if you want to take a shot on him.

Tier 1: Kemba
Tier 2: Monk, Batum
Tier 3:

ORL: Aaron Gordon looked good in game 1 and is primed to follow it up here. His price did jump a bit but has a good matchup against Marvin Williams. Vooch and Gordon should be able to dominate inside.

Tier 1: Gordon, Vucevic
Tier 2: Ross
Tier 3:

NY @ BKN (-3) o/u 219

NY: Right away this game jumps off as one to target. Trier played 26 minutes last game and his salary went down to $3400 on DK. He is a viable punt play against Brooklyn. Kanter is always in play with the high ceiling he has. Knox had 16 shots last game and if gets a few to drop he’ll easily pay off the $4500 price tag.

Tier 1: Kanter (GPP), Trier, Hardaway Jr.
Tier 2: Knox
Tier 3: Burke

BKN: Jarrett Allen is looking much improved this year. As long as Allen can stay out of foul trouble he’s got a great matchup against Kanter, who isn’t exactly known for his defense. Other than that you can always target point guards against Burke, but it’s never a clear answer on who is going to get the minutes between D’Angelo and Spencer. Crabbe is also coming back this game so Joe Harris may get sent to the bench.

Tier 1: LeVert, Allen
Tier 2: D’Angelo, Dinwiddie
Tier 3:

CLE @ MIN (-8.5) o/u 223

CLE: Keep an eye on the status of Nance; if he is out again that makes Tristan a better option. The weak spots of Minnesota come against KAT and Wiggins usually so Cedi and Thompson get a bump. Even though it’s been a few years, Kevin Love is in play as he returns in a revenge scenario against the team that drafted him.

Tier 1: Love, Cedi
Tier 2: Tristan (if Nance is out)
Tier 3:

MIN: The drama continues as Butler and the T-wolves started off with a L in San Antonio. They should be able to handle the new look Cavs, but I guess you never know. Teague is in a good spot and Rose off the bench is cheap for the minutes he’s getting. Note, last game Butler was on a minutes restriction. Speaking of Butler, he got bumped to $8100 and should dominate the usage when he’s in the game.

Tier 1: Teague, Butler
Tier 2:
Tier 3: Rose (GPP)

BOS @ TOR (-3) o/u 207

BOS: The Celtics handled the Sixers with Kyrie and Hayward struggling from the field. Kyrie is going to have to step up here as Kawhi will be on the other side shutting someone down Tatum or Hayward. Kyrie is down to $6600, which is a big drop off from one game and seems like an overreaction. It will be interesting to see how Stevens shrinks his rotation in a close game.

Tier 1: Kyrie, Morris
Tier 2: Tatum, Horford
Tier 3: Brown

TOR: This team can D up at every position, but the main lockdown starts with Kawhi. Him and Lowry are also going to be the main contributors on the offensive end most nights. I’m looking for those two to step up and lead in this matchup.

Tier 1: Lowry, Kawhi
Tier 2: Danny Green, Jonas Valanciunas
Tier 3:

SAC @ NO (-11) o/u 230

SAC: The Kings may be in for a long season, but there is still appeal for them in DFS so we can’t write them off entirely. Injury news may change the look of this game, but if they stick with the same lineup we will need to take a look at Nemanja Bjelica for only $4600.  Fox and WCS are also in play as they will need a lot of them if they want to keep this game competitive

Tier 1: Fox, WCS, Bjelica
Tier 2: Hield
Tier 3:

NO: AD is looking like he’s set to dominate this year once again as long as he stays healthy. The three headed front court dominated the Rockets throughout the game and I don’t think the Kings will slow them down much themselves either. Randle is banged up so make sure to follow his status come game time. If he plays and isn’t limited I really like his upside. If he’s out it will be hard to pass on Mirotic and AD.

Tier 1: AD, Mirotic, Randle, Elfrid
Tier 2: Jrue
Tier 3:

ATL @ MEM (-7.5) o/u 209

ATL: Atlanta looks like another team to target players against this season. Now they are short-handed so we don’t see the full picture yet. Len should be needed for a few more minutes in this one to hang with Gasol. Even though targeting centers against him is not the wisest, Len is cheap enough to where the bump in minutes could pay off enough to justify it.

Tier 1: Taurean Prince
Tier 2: Trae Young, Alex Len
Tier 3:

MEM: Trae Young defense is something to target so Conley gets a bump. Gasol is always viable for cash games with his decent floor, but he may only need to play 30 minutes in this game. He is at the point in his career where he will be saving himself for bigger matchups that are circled on the calendar. JaMychal Green on the other hand is playing on his contract year and should bring it every night. He’s firmly in play at the current price point. JJJ off the bench could see a few extra minutes in this one as well.

Tier 1: Mike Conley, Green,
Tier 2: Gasol, Jaren Jackson Jr.
Tier 3:

IND @ MIL (-3.5) o/u 217

IND: Indiana easily took care of Memphis and now get a true test in the Bucks. Point guards and centers have caused problems for the Bucks in recent years and that trend may be continuing as we saw what Kemba did in game one. Oladipo will be needed more this game and is a viable option again.

Tier 1: Oladipo
Tier 2: Tyreke, Thad Young
Tier 3: Turner, Sabonis

MIL: Giannis is up to 11k now and that may not be high enough. Indy doesn’t match up well with him and with this game supposed to stay close from looking at the Vegas total, he should be in for a huge day. Middleton/Bledsoe should also have plenty of opportunites to contribute in this close match

Tier 1: Giannis, Bledsoe, Middleton
Tier 2: Brogdon, Lopez
Tier 3: Donte

GSW @ UTA (+2) o/u 218

GSW: The Warriors always seem to struggle against the Jazz. KD and Steph are too expensive for this road game. The only benefit is the fact that it should stay close and we should see the starters play a full complement of minutes. Klay is intriguing here as well as Damian Jones. He may be needed more against Gobert after just battling with Adams last game.

Tier 1: Damian Jones
Tier 2: Klay ( border tier 1), Curry, Draymond (mins restriction?), KD
Tier 3:

UTA: The Jazz at home are one of the hardest to beat. With Dray being banged up a bit and possibly on a minutes restriction, Gobert should be able to get more play time and keep the Warriors from going to their small ball rotations.

Tier 1: Gobert, Favors, Rubio
Tier 2: Jingles, Mitchell
Tier 3:

OKC @ LAC (-1.5) o/u 215

OKC: Thunder, feel the thunder. Westbrook determines everything in this game. If he sits out then PG needs to be locked in as they have no one who can guard him. Dennis is a fade if Westbrook plays, but a borderline Tier 1 play if he’s out. Hard to justify his 7.7k price tag so maybe look for value elsewhere.

Tier 1: PG (if Russ is out)
Tier 2: Dennis (if Russ is out), Adams, Patterson
Tier 3: Westbrook (if he plays)

LAC: Beverley got into foul trouble last game and should bounce back here. If Westbrook plays then Patrick gets a bump up. If he doesn’t play Beverley is still viable as Schroder doesn’t play defense. The Rookie Shai is starting to contribute more and may dip into Beverley’s minutes when he struggles.

Tier 1: Danilo
Tier 2: Patrick Beverley, Gortat, SGA, Tobias
Tier 3: Sweet Lou

 

 

Good talk and good luck

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