DFS Week 9 – 11/4/2018

10 games on the main slate again this week. Here we go.

CHI @ BUF (+10) o/u 37.5

CHI: Howard is down to $4700 in this one. With the Vegas spread set for a blowout it could play to his advantage. I do like him more than Cohen for sure as he should get 20 or so carries and possibly a touchdown. With Tarik you are hoping for a few big plays from him. At the $6200 price tag I will pass.

Tier 1: Howard, CHI D/ST
Tier 2: Cohen, Gabriel
Darts:
Punts:

BUF: Same thing as every other week here for the Bills.. nothing.

Tier 1:
Tier 2:
Darts:
Punts:

TB @ CAR (-6.5) o/u 55

TB: Fitzmagic has retaken the starting gig at QB for this week after Jameis’s dismal 4 interception performance against the Bengals. He will probably be super chalky at his $5500 price point. The Bucs have shown zero run game so that only increases the appeal for him and the passing attack. Desean probably gets the biggest bump with him back if we compare stats.

Tier 1: Fitzmagic, Howard, Evans, Desean
Tier 2: Godwin
Darts: Barber (super cheap)
Punts:

CAR: Tampa has little to no defense and one of the worst pass defenses in the league. Cam got a price bump but still has to be considered here. Moore, Funchess, and Olsen are also in consideration. I like Moore the most once you look at the salaries.

Tier 1: Cam, Moore, McCaffrey
Tier 2: Funchess, Olsen
Darts:
Punts:

KC @ CLE (+9) o/u 52.5

KC: KC will try to keep it rolling as they head into Cleveland this week. Mahomes is always in play as long as you can squeeze him into your lineup. Hill at 8k lowers my appeal some. Kelce is fairly expensive as well, but great for GPP’s with his high ceiling.

Tier 1: Mahomes, Kelce, Watkins
Tier 2: Hill
Darts:
Punts:

CLE: The runningback coach is taking over playcalling duties this week. Without any experience this could be really bad, or benefit the players. Landry is sneaky play that could get

Tier 1: Chubb, Landry
Tier 2: Baker Mayfield, Njoku
Darts:
Punts:

NYJ @ MIA (-3) o/u 42.5

NYJ: Jets on the road in Miami.. yeah moving right along here.

Tier 1:
Tier 2:
Darts: Crowell, McGuire
Punts:

MIA: Another team to fade for me. Next!

Tier 1:
Tier 2:
Darts: Drake
Punts:

PIT @ BAL (-2) o/u 47

PIT: Baltimore has a tough defense especially at home. I won’t have much exposure to this matchup. The usual targets are not much more than dart throws with their price tags to me.

Tier 1:
Tier 2:
Darts: Conner, AB, Vance, JuJu
Punts:

BAL: The Raven’s offense has an exploitable matchup this week. Flacco will be throwing the ball a lot like always, and is only $5300. Crabtree is my favorite receiver of the bunch in this one. Brown is more of a GPP dart with his low floor.

Tier 1: Crabtree, Flacco
Tier 2:
Darts: Snead, John Brown
Punts:

DET @ MIN (-5) o/u 48.5

DET: With Golden Tate being shipped out to Philly, the remaining receiving core of Jones and Golladay get a bump up. They are relatively cheap and priced similarly with neither above $5500.

Tier 1: Golladay
Tier 2: Stafford, Jones, Kerryon
Darts:
Punts:

MIN: Diggs will probably sit this one out which then sends Laquon Treadwell to the starting lineup. Theilen has been on a tear and has to be in consideration as he looks to keep the 100 yards streak alive. Rudolph will also get a slight bump with Diggs out. At $3600 Rudolph looks like a steal.

Tier 1: Theilen, Rudolph
Tier 2: Murray, Cousins
Darts:
Punts: Treadwell

ATL @ WAS (-2) o/u 48

ATL: Matt Ryan outside of the home dome always gets me worries a bit. His price tag of $5700 definitely increases my appeal as he should still be able to reach value here in a close game that he may have to throw a lot in. Julio is due for a TD one of these games, and what better way to get it than against his old rival Josh Norman?

Tier 1: Julio, Matt Ryan
Tier 2: Hooper
Darts: Ridley
Punts:

WAS: Chris Thompson has been ruled out this week. Bibbs should be involved a bit, and AP becomes an even better play at 6k. Alex Smith seems way too cheap here in a game he should have to be throwing to keep pace with the Falcons.

Tier 1: AP, Alex Smith
Tier 2: Paul Richardson
Darts: Bibbs
Punts:

HOU @ DEN (-1) o/u 46

HOU: Demaryius Thomas is now on the away team in Denver. He steps into the number 2 WR roll and should get plenty of field time with Fuller and Coutee already ruled out. Deshaun is too expensive, while Lamar is too cheap .

Tier 1: Miller
Tier 2: Thomas, Hopkins
Darts:
Punts:

DEN: Sutton is going to be another chalk play of the day. He is cheap and in play bottom line. Sanders gets a bump as with DT leaving town and should be even more of the focal point in the Denver offense. No Royce again so back to the Phillip Lindsay well.

Tier 1: Lindsay, Sutton, Sanders
Tier 2:
Darts:
Punts:

LAC @ SEA (even) o/u 47.5

LAC: The Chargers are coming off the by week and should get Melvin Gordon back. The offense runs through him so he is always in play as long as he is playing. At receiver Allen has a favorable matchup that he should be able to take advantage of.

Tier 1: Keenan Allen
Tier 2: Rivers, Gordon, Mike Williams
Darts:
Punts:

SEA: The news to pay attention for is whether or not Carson is playing in this game. If he’s out Mike Davis should get the bulk of the carries with Penny backing him up. David Moore is a punt play at receiver if you need another one. Other than that not much interest in Seattle.

Tier 1:
Tier 2: Carson (if he plays)
Darts:
Punts: David Moore

LAR @ NO (+2) o/u 57.5

LAR: The Saints have been solid against the run, and terrible against the pass so far this season.  It will be interesting to see if they can slow Gurley at all in this one. If they can then the passing attack only gets more appeal. This is also a revenge game for Cooks so he gets a bump for that as well.

Tier 1: Woods, Goff
Tier 2: Gurley, Kupp, Cooks
Darts:
Punts:

NO: The Saints are going to have to score to keep up in this one. Kamara is too cheap in my opinion here even with Ingram back. Game script could help him out more as well. Thomas is in a similar boat here and also in play.

Tier 1: Brees, Kamara, Thomas
Tier 2: Ingram, Watson
Darts:
Punts:

 

Good talk and good luck

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