DFS Week 10 – 11/11/2018

NO @ CIN (+6) o/u 54

NO: Who dat? Nola is rolling, but now they have to travel outside the Superdome and into Bengal territory. On the road I don’t like to target Brees so that also bumps my appeal down for Michael Thomas a bit too. Both runningbacks are in play here, and if I had to choose one, I like Ingram a bit more on a point per $ basis.

Tier 1: Kamara, Ingram
Tier 2: Thomas
Darts: Tre’quan Smith
Punts:

CIN: No A.J. Green here unfortunately for the Bengals. Boyd and Uzomah should get a few more targets here against a weak pass defense. The Saints have done well against TEs this year, but with Green out he’s on the radar.

Tier 1: Dalton
Tier 2: Uzomah, Boyd
Darts: Ross
Punts:

ATL @ CLE (+6) o/u 51

ATL: Julio finally scored his first TD of the season last week and is in play again here. Cleveland does play better at home, but I can’t see them stopping the high-powered Atlanta attack

Tier 1: Julio, Coleman, Matt Ryan
Tier 2: Hooper
Darts: Ridley, Ito
Punts:

CLE: Cleveland kept the game a lot clozer than anyone thought they would against the Chiefs. This matchup could have a similar game script.

Tier 1: Jarvis, Duke, Baker Mayfield
Tier 2: Chubb
Darts: Calloway
Punts:

JAX @ IND (-3) o/u 47

JAX: Bortles is cheap and in a good spot here if you are paying down at QB. Outside of him there isn’t much appeal. Fournette returns, but he’s too pricey here for the uncertainty of his role on his first game back.

Tier 1: Bortles
Tier 2:
Darts:
Punts:

IND: Similar situation here as the above Jags. Luck is a bit more expensive than Bortles, but still a good play.

Tier 1: Luck
Tier 2: Hilton, Doyle
Darts: Ebron
Punts:

DET @ CHI (-7) o/u 44

DET: Lions looked lost last week and out of synce without Tate in the lineup. This is a tough division matchup with the Bears and I’m not particularly high on anyone here until they figure out how to manage without Tate.

Tier 1:
Tier 2: Golladay, Marvin Jones
Darts:
Punts:

CHI: Howard didn’t come up much in price after his 2 TD game last week. The Lions D has been weak against the run all year so he’s back in play again here.

Tier 1: Howard
Tier 2: Cohen, CHI D/ST
Darts:
Punts:

ARI @ KC (-17) o/u 50

ARI: Yeah this could get ugly quick… If I play anyone in this game it would be David Johnson, but that’s unlikely.

Tier 1:
Tier 2: David Johnson
Darts: Christian Kirk
Punts:

KC: As mentioned above, this game could get ugly quick. Hunt and some starters could be benched for the 4th in this one if it does get out of hand. Ware could be a nice GPP dart if the game does go that way.

Tier 1: KC D/ST, Hunt
Tier 2: Hill, Kelce, Mahomes
Darts: Ware
Punts:

NE @ TEN (+7) o/u 47.5

NE: Gronk is not expected to play in this one even though he did travel with the team. Edelman is my favorite of the bunch here, but they all have been priced up enough to lower my appeal.

Tier 1:
Tier 2: Edelman, White, Gordon, Brady
Darts:
Punts:

TEN: The Titans got a tough challenge against the Pats  as noted by the home underdog of a touchdown by Vegas. Mariota is super cheap here though and worth a look. Same with Dion Lewis as he takes on his former team.

Tier 1: Mariota, Dion Lewis
Tier 2: Corey Davis
Darts:
Punts:

WAS @ TB (-3) o/u 51

WAS: The Redskins just got destroyed by Atlanta and now take on another explosive offense in the Bucs. They will need to score points to stay in this game which shouldn’t be too hard here.

Tier 1: Alex Smith, AP
Tier 2: Maurice Harris, WAS D/ST
Darts: Vernon Davis
Punts:

TB: Does Winston get the job back the next time Fitzmagic struggles now? That is going to be a question I ask every time I go to roster him. Bottom line is though that right now he is in a good spot. The nonexistent running game and inability for the defense to get off the field forces the Bucs to throw often. This may not be good for the Bucs, but it’d good for DFS.

Tier 1: Fitz, Evans 
Tier 2: Godwin, Humphries
Darts: Desean
Punts:

BUF @ NYJ (-75) o/u 36.5

BUF: What a game lined up here. I won’t be tuning in to say the least, and also not looking here for DFS purposes either. The only player worth a thought is Lesean McCoy with his $4500 price tag.

Tier 1:
Tier 2: Shady
Darts:
Punts:

NYJ: Elijah is cheap at least if you need a punt RB play. If not then I will be staying away from this one.

Tier 1: NYJ D/ST
Tier 2:
Darts:
Punts: Elijah McGuire

LAC @ OAK (+10) o/u 49.5

LAC: Another game not probably not worth watching, but better for DFS. The Raiders are in full tank mode and just made the 49ers with an undrafted QB look great last week. This could be a bigger blowout than the 10 point spread calls for. Ekeler could get some extra run here so be weary a bit if using Gordon this week.

Tier 1: Gordon, Rivers, Keenan, LAC D/ST
Tier 2: Ekeler, Mike Williams, Tyrell Williams
Darts:
Punts:

OAK: No thank you Chuckie.

Tier 1:
Tier 2:
Darts:
Punts:

MIA @ GB (-10) o/u 47.5

MIA: Another lopsided affair here in which I’ll be avoiding the road Dolphins…

Tier 1:
Tier 2:
Darts:
Punts:

GB: The Pack attack should bounceback here against the Dolphins. After playing the Rams and Patriots the last two weeks they now get an easier matchup with the Dolphins. Jones is starting to take over the backfield (which he should’ve done 5 weeks ago) and looks like a decent value with the 5k price tag.

Tier 1: Jones, Rodgers, Davante
Tier 2: GB D/ST, Graham, Valdez-Scantling
Darts:
Punts:

SEA @ LAR (-9.5) o/u 50.5

SEA: If Chris Carson sits then Mike Davis is a great play. Even if he plays he could be limited so Mike Davis is still a great play at $4300. He should get carries regardless and the Rams haven’t been stopping many people on the ground lately.

Tier 1: Mike Davis (less appeal if Carson plays), Russ
Tier 2:
Darts:
Punts:

LAR: Gurley is a beast and is going to set the tone with the Rams once again. All 3 receivers here can go off, but I like Woods a bit more than the others this week. This could stay competitive with it being a division game as well which is good if you are targeting this offense.

Tier 1: Gurley, Woods
Tier 2: Kupp, Cooks
Darts:
Punts:

 

Good talk and good luck

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