NBA DFS – 11/29/2018

Back to a small 3 game slate. Tough one too so let’s get in.

GS @ TOR (-9) o/u 226

GS: Warriors are still without Curry and Dray is questionable for this one. The Raptors are good defensively from the top to bottom so they lose some appeal for me. KD is basically matchup proof, but Kawhi is definitely going to slow him down and is far from a lock at 11k. Klay is also way up to $7400 now for this one and I won’t be forcing him in either. I really am not feeling the Warriors for the most part here.

Tier 1: KD (GPP)
Tier 2: Klay, Cook, Iggy
Tier 3: Jerebko, Looney

TOR: I am sure Kawhi will be locked in for this one since he hasn’t gotten to play against them healthy since having to exit early in playoffs from Zaza running under him. Ibaka is too cheap here and should get plenty of run. The Warriors don’t have a legit center so that only adds to the appeal. Siakam should also be locked into solid minutes here and is viable at 6.1k.

Tier 1: Kawhi Leonard, Ibaka
Tier 2: Green (GPP), Siakam, Lowry (GPP)
Tier 3:

IND @ LAL (-4.5) o/u 218

IND: Big pace up spot for the Pacers tonight. Turner and Sabonis are going in up in price now and yet still need consideration on this 3 game slate. With Dipo out they have both seen bumps in usage and I like both of them against the Lakers. Hopefully the price points will lower ownership. Collison is way too cheap here after having back to back good games and seeing his price move up $100 over that period. Evans has disappointed since entering the starting lineup for Dipo and is back to 5k. I will still fire him up in GPPs because he still has the 45-50 fantasy point upside.

Tier 1: Turner, Collison, Sabonis (GPP)
Tier 2: McDermott (GPP), Evans (GPP), Thad, Bojan
Tier 3:

LAL: Ball is going to be a game time decision so keep an eye out for that. Pacers have been good defensive team this year so the Lakers get a bump down. One thing the Pacers don’t have is someone to guard Lebron. He has owned this team his whole career and I don’t expect that to change now that he is in the purple and gold. His price has come down to a reasonable price and it’s just in time for a big game from him. Everyone else is worth a look, but more Tier 2 plays. Lance, Hart, and Ingram should get a bump if Ball is ruled out.

Tier 1: LBJ
Tier 2: Ingram, Hart (if Ball is out), Lance, McGee, Kuzma, Pope, Ball (GPP)
Tier 3: Chandler

LAC @ SAC (+3) o/u 235

LAC: Some late news last night ruled out Gortat and gave the start to the Boban. If he starts again he will be very chalky as his price has come down. Harrell is up to $7600 and seems too pricey now. He has a high floor, but the upside is limited for him at that price point. Harris had a bad game against the Suns and should bounceback here against the Kings. He too is a bit pricey for my liking though. Gallinari on the other hand has played well of late and is more fairly priced at $6500. Lou is too cheap at $5600 here even when everyone is healthy. SGA also needs consideration as his price is coming back down to playable territory with everyone healthy. This is the second night of a back to back so pay mind to late night scratches.

Tier 1: Boban (if he starts), Gallinari, Harrell (GPP), Lou Will 
Tier 2: Harris, SGA, Beverley
Tier 3:

SAC: This Kings rotation as been all over the last couple games in part to playing the Warriors and then getting blown out after that. WCS should get back to playing 30 minutes here in a competitive game and is only $5900. Hield is getting around 30 minutes a night, give or take a few, which should be enough run to reach value at $5700. Fox has had a couple bad games and seems priced accurately for this matchup. That being said he is not a priority for me when there are other options at point guard, like Collison, who are underpriced. Bogdan is too hit or miss for me to really want now that his price is up. Bagley has been getting run and seems that his price will only be going up from here if that continues. Shumpert will probably be back for this one and take some minutes away from Hield and Bogdan so be mindful of that if you are loading up on the Kings tonight.

Tier 1: Hield (GPP), Bagley, WCS
Tier 2: Shump, Fox
Tier 3: Bjelica, Giles (GPP)

Good talk and good luck

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