NBA DFS – 1/8/2019

8 games on this lovely Tuesday. Going position by position with my top threes after first look. As always news throughout the day will change everything. Let’s get it

Point Guards:

Ben Simmons $9100 vs WAS – the Wizards are one of the worst rebounding teams, they don’t play defense, and they play at a fast pace. This just feels like it has all the ingredients for a triple double game. The one negative is that Butler is back, but that hasn’t really affected Ben’s usage much yet.

De’Aaron Fox $7200 @ PHO – back to back for the Kings in a great spot here against the Suns. Hield is now priced more than Fox, but Fox is still the better per minute producer this season. I’ll definitely be going back to Fox here and take the salary discount.

Trey Burke $3400 @ GS – with Ntilikina out and the Knicks most likely needing production somewhere, Burke should be looked at early to help keep it competitive. Even if it blows out he still should get run and easily pay off this cheap price tag. He has upside, it is more a matter of if he will get the minutes, and with Ntilikina out he should at least see around 20

Shooting Guards:

Victor Oladipo $8400 @ CLE – the blowout potential is real, but Oladipo still needs consideration. This is a good spot especially of late as the Cavs have been good to target the opposing backcourt against. If this game ends up staying competitive then he could be in for a huge game.

Devin Booker $8700 vs SAC – Booker is questionable currently, but if he plays he finds himself in a great pace up spot here against the Kings. Based on salary point expectations, the Kings have given up a slate-high, +2.7 DK fantasy point differential while on the road.

Gary Harris $5400 @ MIA – Harris re-entered the starting lineup, and this is a back to back for him after recently returning from injury. For those reasons this is definitely a tourney play only. His price is cheap enough that I don’t mind taking the risk for the potential upside.

Small Forwards:

Nicolas Batum $4700 @ LAC – not going to be a popular play for sure, but he has a great matchup against Harris or Gallo here. Obviously he hasn’t done much this year, but he is one of those players that can fill up the stat sheet doing a bit of everything. He is due for a good shooting game and at 4.7k it’s worth a shot.

DeAndre’ Bembry $4600 @ TOR – no Bazemore, no Prince, and possibly no Huerter in this one. The Hawks are getting thin at the wing and Bembry was able to crack the starting unit last game. This isn’t an ideal matchup, but the minutes should be there

T.J. Warren $7100 vs SAC – this play is more for if Booker gets ruled out. Either way you can play Warren at this price because of the pace bump. Warren goes out and attacks all game regardless how poor he’s playing. $7100 does limit his upside, but against the Kings, I’ll still take it

Power Forwards:

Noah Vonleh $6100 @ GS – Vonleh should see some center run here as both teams can go small. Kanter probably can’t stay on the court much with the Warriors, so Vonleh should slide down if that’s the case.

John Collins $6900 @ TOR – too cheap here for his upside. Yes, it is a tough matchup.. but if the Hawks can keep it slightly close he should get his usual 32 minutes of run with a chance to crush this price tag

Domantas Sabonis $7400 @ CLE – If Turner misses this game I will be locking in Sabonis even at this price. Thad also comes into consideration in that case. If Turner plays I don’t think I will get to this play much.

Centers:

Joel Embiid $11000 – No question, this looks like the best spot on the slate. The only thing I don’t like is the price tag. As of now I don’t think I will have enough value to pay up for him, but if I am paying up for center this is who I will be going with.

Hassan Whiteside $6600 vs DEN – centers have quietly been outperforming salary based expectations against the Nuggets all season. This is a risky play, but also could be very rewarding. Whiteside has huge upside, but also has a very low floor since Spoelstra hates him

Willie Cauley-Stein $6300 @ PHO – Ayton has been rebounding better of late, but opposing centers are still destroying the Suns. The back to back does concern me a bit especially with what happened last time with Joerger benching his starters and basically making it an unofficial rest day..

Good talk and good luck

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