NBA DFS – 1/9/2019

Ten game slate on this Wednesday main slate. Sticking with the same positional breakdown. Let’s jump in

Point Guards:

Jeremy Lin $4200 @ BKN – as you go through this you should see a lot of these picks hinging on another player’s status. In this case, Kevin Huerter is whom we need to wait on. If Lin starts he should be very popular against his former team.

Mike Conley $7400 vs SA – I’m thinking the Grizzlies bounce back against the Spurs at home now after getting blown out in San Antonio a couple games ago. Now that Conley’s price is reasonable again the upside is back too.

De’Anthony Melton $4300 @ DAL – The usage goes up with Booker out, but even with Booker in he still should get solid run. Like this play more if he does sit out again.

Shooting Guards:

James Harden $12200 vs MIL – out of the stud plays on this slate I don’t think anyone compares to Harden. I’ll keep going back to this well, especially against the Bucks who have given up a lot of 3s this year. Guess who shoots a lot, James Harden.

Gerald Green $4200 vs MIL – the last note about the Bucks giving up a lot of threes put GG also in play for me. He is going to get 28-30 minutes and has been shooting well with double digit shot attempts in each of the last four. Very scoring reliant, but still has decent upside with him falling into a few peripheral stats once in awhile

Donovan Mitchell $7300 vs ORL – Rubio is out for about two weeks along with Exum. That means Neto will get the start along side Mitchell. This will bump up the minutes, usage, and opportunity for Mitchell while also putting the ball more in his hands playing point guard

Small Forwards:

Cedi Osman $4400 @ NO – pace up spot could pay off here for Cedi. He has shown us 40 point upside in the past, but also a floor close to zero. GPP only if you need a dart in a good spot that should be low-owned

Jake Layman $3700 vs CHI – punt play here if you need it. If you play it you should be hoping for it to not stay close so Jake can get some extra garbage run.

Reggie Bullock $4200 @ LAL – nice pace bump here for a guy playing 35+ minutes. This play not only seems safe at this price tag, but the matchup bumps the potential upside higher as well.

Power Forwards:

Domantas Sabonis $7100 @ BOS – this play hinges on the availability of Myles Turner. If he is out I will be going right back here and most likely passing on this play if Turner pays

Lauri Markkanen $6300 @ POR – price has came down and I think we can still project him for around 33 minutes with Portis back. Portland doesn’t have anyone to match his length at the 4 unless they decide to run Zach Collins out alongside Nurkic. Either way he should be able to get his at this price

Kyle Kuzma $7000 vs DET – while all the other Laker’s prices have increased, Kuzma’s is finally coming down. This is a good spot as noted by the +2 expected fantasy point differential the Pistons have given up on the road this year to power forwards.

Centers:

Marc Gasol $6500 vs SA – too cheap here is the bottom line. He still has 50 burger upside so he’s viable in all tournaments.

Tristan Thompson $6000 @ NO – If Nance is out then I like this play even more. He was on a roll before getting hurt and it seems that he’s getting back in the groove while his price hasn’t reflected that yet

DeAndre Jordan $6900 vs PHO – Ayton has been getting destroyed by opposing centers so I had to include DJ here. He is a bit pricey and there are plenty of options at center if you don’t think he’s worth it. The blowout risk is somewhat a factor here too

Good talk and good luck

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