NBA DFS – 1/29/2019

WAS @ CLE (+7) o/u 219
MIL @ DET (+6.5) o/u 220
OKC @ ORL (+5) o/u 222
CHI @ BKN (-7) o/u 217
NO @ HOU (-10) o/u 234
PHX @ SA (-13) o/u 226
PHI @ LAL (+6.5) o/u 231

MIL @ DET (+6.5) o/u 220

MIL: The Bucks are coming off a tough loss in OKC and now get the Pistons where they will look to complete the season sweep in Detroit. The Bucks haven’t lost two games in a row this season yet and I don’t think I’ll bet against them in this one either. Brogdon is probable for the game so they should be healthy.

None of the Bucks players really catch my eye as having upside relative to their salary to make them priorities or core plays so I won’t be wasting much time here. Giannis would be my favorite play of the Bucks as he gets a good matchup with Blake Griffin and has come down in price to 10.7k. Lopez has been playing well and his price has risen accordingly to $5600. I’d say his ceiling is around the 40-43 range so again upside is limited here, but the minutes should be there to help in the paint against Drummond.

Tier 1: Giannis
Tier 2: Lopez
Tier 3: Middleton, Brogdon

DET: The Pistons have lost 3 of their last 4 and now get the number one team in the East visiting. Andre Drummond returned last game and he and Blake both had solid performances, but still wasn’t enough to overcome the Mavericks.

Drummond has been held in check for most of his career against the Bucks. Now past performances do not guarantee future results so we can’t just look at that. He should be well rested after missing 3 games and then returning in the last one of which he played 38 minutes. At $8500 Drummond has considerable upside as long as the game stays competitive. Blake’s price has dropped with the return of Andre, but this is still a good spot and his inflated salary should keep his ownership down. Also, unlike Andre, Blake has played well against the Bucks on a consistent basis. Reggie Jackson needs a look at here with his minutes staying more consistent and him stringing together a couple good games recently. Lastly, Stanley Johnson is back in the lineup and should see 25 minutes against the lengthy Bucks. He’s cheap and there if you need a punt play.

Tier 1: BG (GPP)
Tier 2: Drummond, Stanley Johnson (punt), Reggie
Tier 3: