NBA DFS – 1/29/2019

7 game slate today, let’s get it.

WAS @ CLE (+7) o/u 219
MIL @ DET (+6.5) o/u 220
OKC @ ORL (+5) o/u 222
CHI @ BKN (-7) o/u 217
NO @ HOU (-10) o/u 234
PHX @ SA (-13) o/u 226
PHI @ LAL (+6.5) o/u 231

WAS @ CLE (+7) o/u 219

WAS: This team is banged up with Howard and Morris all out for the foreseeable future and Wall done for the season. Last game Mahinmi and Dekker joined them on the sidelines as well. The Wizards are still in the playoff hunt currently sitting at the ten spot after losing in San Antonio last outing. The Cavs in theory should be an easy win, but both these teams are bad and don’t rebound or play defense.

Satoransky is coming off a great game where he did a little bit of everything and is fairly priced, if not a bit cheap for this one. Beal is a bit too pricey for me here, but definitely still has upside. I would just rather pay $1500 or so more for one of the other studs on this slate. Ariza isn’t a great per minute producer, but he is seeing close to 40 minutes in competitive games. He’s also in the fairly priced category and doesn’t stand out as a priority to me. Bryant and Jeff Green are also in similar situations themselves at 5.5k and 4.7k respectively. If Mahinmi is out again then Bryant should get close to 30 minutes again and is worth a look. Green should also be around the 30 minute mark and looks like the best value of this Wizards team.

Tier 1: Satoransky
Tier 2: Bryant (if Mahinmi is out), Ariza, Green, Beal, Porter
Tier 3:

CLE: The Cavs actually hung on to win a game for the second time of 2019 against the great Chicago Bulls. They are still last in the league as they compete for the first pick and I can’t see them wanting to win many more games with the Knicks and Suns doing their best to keep up the tank with them. Disgraceful in my opinion, but I don’t need to get into that right now.

As far as DFS goes there is definitely opportunity here against the Wizards in a pace up spot for these Cavs. I hate rostering Osman, but he has now put together 3 solid games in a row and should see plenty of minutes here. The Wizards are still a bad rebounding and defensive team so Osman’s hustle could pay off here and give him a few extra peripheral stats even though he hasn’t had a good game against them this year. Nance is back but the Cavs do everything possible to not play him and I don’t think anything will change in this one. That means you can look to Zizic at $6100, but at that price he does have limited upside. Sexton’s minutes have been down in the last two games, but if he plays well he will get 30+ minutes. At 4.4k he has plenty of upside and he has played well against the Wizards twice this season scoring 29.75 and 45.25 fantasy points in their first two meetings.

Tier 1: Sexton (GPP), Burks
Tier 2: Zizic, Osman
Tier 3: Clarkson

NBA DFS – 1/23/2019

Happy Hump day, let’s get into this 10 game slate.

Point Guards:

Darren Collison $5200 vs TOR – Collison has been playing well of late and yet still is priced around the 5k range. This game is largely unappealing so that should also keep his ownership low.

Kris Dunn $6300 vs ATL – Pace up spot in a very favorable matchup against Trae Young. Even if he isn’t scoring a lot, the pace bump should be enough to give him a few extra peripheral stats

Terry Rozier $4000 vs CLE – going to be hard not to lock and load Rozier here against the Cavs. Chalk play for sure, but good chalk at that versus a team that consistently has let point guards outperform against them

Shooting Guards:

James Harden $13400 @ NY – With the 10 game slate it shouldn’t be too hard to find value and fit Harden in your lineups. He had a “bad” game last time out and still put up 55 fpts…

Justin Holiday $3700 vs CHA – he has worked his way into 30+ minutes a game now and is just too cheap for that role. Definite upside here at this price tag

D’Angelo Russell $8000 vs ORL – It slightly feels like chasing points, but he keeps proving the upside is real. He has been on an absolute tear and just dropped 40 real points against these same Magic 2 games ago. On top of that he’s topped 55 fpts in 3 of his last 4. I’ll definitely have some exposure to the hot hand here again.

Small Forwards:

DeAndre Bembry $5300 / Taurean Prince $4900 @ CHI – Huerter is doubtful so Prince should see another spot start. Prince is also in play, but to me Bembry is the safer option right now. Bottom line is the Bulls are one of the worst defensive teams in the league right now so that alone gives them upside. If Huerter ends up playing then for sure go with Bembry as his minutes are more secure.

Nicolas Batum $4500 @ MEM – GPP play here that I am basing almost solely on his history against Memphis. For some reason he plays well against them so I have a bit of interest.

Dion Waiters $4300 vs LAC – Waiters can still catch fire and as he gets into better shape and can play more minutes I become more interested in rostering him. If he gets closer to the 25 minute mark he should be able to reach value with the nice pace bump

Power Forwards:

Kenneth Faried $4400 @ NYK – Faried gets a favorable matchup here against the Knicks after seeing 23 minutes against the Sixers. As long as he gets the minutes he has the upside.

Robert Williams $3100 vs CLE – GPP play here only. The potential blowout helps him here, and even if it stays close I think he should at least get 10+ minutes. Theis is also intriguing in this spot, but after the last couple games I am starting to think the Time Lord may jump Theis in the rotation.

Julius Randle $8400 vs DET – Blake doesn’t play much defense so without AD in the picture it is hard not to like Randle in this spot.


Enes Kanter $5000 vs HOU – no Kornet so Kanter should be able to see around 25+ minutes  in this one. Minutes = production for him most of the time so even though he will be chalky, I will be eating it

Hassan Whiteside $6000 vs LAC – Clippers have been a great team to target centers against. Minutes are always a concern, but if he can get closer to the 25+ mark this is a great spot for him to dominate

Jahlil Okafor $4600 vs DET – with no AD, against bigger teams Jahlil should get extended run. He saw 35 minutes against Gasol and played well. Here he is in a better spot against Drummond and should see close to 30 minutes.

Good talk and good luck

NBA DFS – 1/9/2019

Ten game slate on this Wednesday main slate. Sticking with the same positional breakdown. Let’s jump in

Point Guards:

Jeremy Lin $4200 @ BKN – as you go through this you should see a lot of these picks hinging on another player’s status. In this case, Kevin Huerter is whom we need to wait on. If Lin starts he should be very popular against his former team.

Mike Conley $7400 vs SA – I’m thinking the Grizzlies bounce back against the Spurs at home now after getting blown out in San Antonio a couple games ago. Now that Conley’s price is reasonable again the upside is back too.

De’Anthony Melton $4300 @ DAL – The usage goes up with Booker out, but even with Booker in he still should get solid run. Like this play more if he does sit out again.

Shooting Guards:

James Harden $12200 vs MIL – out of the stud plays on this slate I don’t think anyone compares to Harden. I’ll keep going back to this well, especially against the Bucks who have given up a lot of 3s this year. Guess who shoots a lot, James Harden.

Gerald Green $4200 vs MIL – the last note about the Bucks giving up a lot of threes put GG also in play for me. He is going to get 28-30 minutes and has been shooting well with double digit shot attempts in each of the last four. Very scoring reliant, but still has decent upside with him falling into a few peripheral stats once in awhile

Donovan Mitchell $7300 vs ORL – Rubio is out for about two weeks along with Exum. That means Neto will get the start along side Mitchell. This will bump up the minutes, usage, and opportunity for Mitchell while also putting the ball more in his hands playing point guard

Small Forwards:

Cedi Osman $4400 @ NO – pace up spot could pay off here for Cedi. He has shown us 40 point upside in the past, but also a floor close to zero. GPP only if you need a dart in a good spot that should be low-owned

Jake Layman $3700 vs CHI – punt play here if you need it. If you play it you should be hoping for it to not stay close so Jake can get some extra garbage run.

Reggie Bullock $4200 @ LAL – nice pace bump here for a guy playing 35+ minutes. This play not only seems safe at this price tag, but the matchup bumps the potential upside higher as well.

Power Forwards:

Domantas Sabonis $7100 @ BOS – this play hinges on the availability of Myles Turner. If he is out I will be going right back here and most likely passing on this play if Turner pays

Lauri Markkanen $6300 @ POR – price has came down and I think we can still project him for around 33 minutes with Portis back. Portland doesn’t have anyone to match his length at the 4 unless they decide to run Zach Collins out alongside Nurkic. Either way he should be able to get his at this price

Kyle Kuzma $7000 vs DET – while all the other Laker’s prices have increased, Kuzma’s is finally coming down. This is a good spot as noted by the +2 expected fantasy point differential the Pistons have given up on the road this year to power forwards.


Marc Gasol $6500 vs SA – too cheap here is the bottom line. He still has 50 burger upside so he’s viable in all tournaments.

Tristan Thompson $6000 @ NO – If Nance is out then I like this play even more. He was on a roll before getting hurt and it seems that he’s getting back in the groove while his price hasn’t reflected that yet

DeAndre Jordan $6900 vs PHO – Ayton has been getting destroyed by opposing centers so I had to include DJ here. He is a bit pricey and there are plenty of options at center if you don’t think he’s worth it. The blowout risk is somewhat a factor here too

Good talk and good luck

NBA DFS – 1/8/2019

8 games on this lovely Tuesday. Going position by position with my top threes after first look. As always news throughout the day will change everything. Let’s get it

Point Guards:

Ben Simmons $9100 vs WAS – the Wizards are one of the worst rebounding teams, they don’t play defense, and they play at a fast pace. This just feels like it has all the ingredients for a triple double game. The one negative is that Butler is back, but that hasn’t really affected Ben’s usage much yet.

De’Aaron Fox $7200 @ PHO – back to back for the Kings in a great spot here against the Suns. Hield is now priced more than Fox, but Fox is still the better per minute producer this season. I’ll definitely be going back to Fox here and take the salary discount.

Trey Burke $3400 @ GS – with Ntilikina out and the Knicks most likely needing production somewhere, Burke should be looked at early to help keep it competitive. Even if it blows out he still should get run and easily pay off this cheap price tag. He has upside, it is more a matter of if he will get the minutes, and with Ntilikina out he should at least see around 20

Shooting Guards:

Victor Oladipo $8400 @ CLE – the blowout potential is real, but Oladipo still needs consideration. This is a good spot especially of late as the Cavs have been good to target the opposing backcourt against. If this game ends up staying competitive then he could be in for a huge game.

Devin Booker $8700 vs SAC – Booker is questionable currently, but if he plays he finds himself in a great pace up spot here against the Kings. Based on salary point expectations, the Kings have given up a slate-high, +2.7 DK fantasy point differential while on the road.

Gary Harris $5400 @ MIA – Harris re-entered the starting lineup, and this is a back to back for him after recently returning from injury. For those reasons this is definitely a tourney play only. His price is cheap enough that I don’t mind taking the risk for the potential upside.

Small Forwards:

Nicolas Batum $4700 @ LAC – not going to be a popular play for sure, but he has a great matchup against Harris or Gallo here. Obviously he hasn’t done much this year, but he is one of those players that can fill up the stat sheet doing a bit of everything. He is due for a good shooting game and at 4.7k it’s worth a shot.

DeAndre’ Bembry $4600 @ TOR – no Bazemore, no Prince, and possibly no Huerter in this one. The Hawks are getting thin at the wing and Bembry was able to crack the starting unit last game. This isn’t an ideal matchup, but the minutes should be there

T.J. Warren $7100 vs SAC – this play is more for if Booker gets ruled out. Either way you can play Warren at this price because of the pace bump. Warren goes out and attacks all game regardless how poor he’s playing. $7100 does limit his upside, but against the Kings, I’ll still take it

Power Forwards:

Noah Vonleh $6100 @ GS – Vonleh should see some center run here as both teams can go small. Kanter probably can’t stay on the court much with the Warriors, so Vonleh should slide down if that’s the case.

John Collins $6900 @ TOR – too cheap here for his upside. Yes, it is a tough matchup.. but if the Hawks can keep it slightly close he should get his usual 32 minutes of run with a chance to crush this price tag

Domantas Sabonis $7400 @ CLE – If Turner misses this game I will be locking in Sabonis even at this price. Thad also comes into consideration in that case. If Turner plays I don’t think I will get to this play much.


Joel Embiid $11000 – No question, this looks like the best spot on the slate. The only thing I don’t like is the price tag. As of now I don’t think I will have enough value to pay up for him, but if I am paying up for center this is who I will be going with.

Hassan Whiteside $6600 vs DEN – centers have quietly been outperforming salary based expectations against the Nuggets all season. This is a risky play, but also could be very rewarding. Whiteside has huge upside, but also has a very low floor since Spoelstra hates him

Willie Cauley-Stein $6300 @ PHO – Ayton has been rebounding better of late, but opposing centers are still destroying the Suns. The back to back does concern me a bit especially with what happened last time with Joerger benching his starters and basically making it an unofficial rest day..

Good talk and good luck

NBA DFS – 1/4/2019

10 games today, let’s break down how we’ll attack this DK slate today by position. Again this is the first look going over the plays that stand out right now. News can change everything so pay attention to that throughout the day.

Point Guards:

As of writing this, point guard is looking like a spot I will be probably be paying down for. Most of the value plays with increased roles have also come up in price accordingly. Ricky Rubio stands out here though at $6100 in a great spot against the Cavaliers. The Cavs have been getting destroyed by point guards and that should only continue here. He should be able to reach value in 30 minutes, and the Questionable tag on him should help keep ownership down.

A cheaper option at $4300 in D.J. Augustin is another guard worth consideration. He has been playing well of late and getting the lion’s share of the point guard minutes when the game stays competitive. I expect this one to stay close so he should see good run and be able to pay off his price tag that is just too cheap for his recent production.

Lastly, if you need an even cheaper play, De’Anthony Melton at $3700 against the Clippers catches my eye. His minutes have been volatile, but he has still managed 21+ fantasy points over the last 3. At $3700 the risk of his volatile minutes is accounted for so I like this play especially if you want to punt entirely.

Shooting Guards

First shooting guard that really stood out was Zach LaVine. His price is down to $6300 and the Bulls just traded Holiday to the Grizzlies. That should only make his minutes more secure here. It is a tough matchup, but he can go off any night and should be due for a big game again soon.

Staying in that same game, Victor Oladipo at $8800 seems like a solid play for cash games and GPPs. He does a little of everything and has had good history against the Bulls in the past. At $8800 it feels like a safer play relative to Booker and Beal who are priced a bit more than him.

My third play that has some appeal is any one of the Laker guards. Hart, Ingram, and KCP all are playing well right now and getting extended run with Lebron sidelined. They get a favorable matchup here against the Knicks and I don’t mind playing any of them. If I had to rank them I’m going Hart, KCP, and then Ingram. Hart does a bit of everything and is $6200. I am slightly more confident in that play compared to KCP who is extremely volatile and cheaper, or BI who is more expensive and has to have a solid game to reach value. Also if Kuzma misses that will only increase the appeal for all three.

Small Forwards:

My favorite play at this position is Kyle Anderson at $5200 against the Nets. This is a huge pace up spot, his minutes have been trending up, and Conley is banged up a bit meaning his usage could get a slight bump. On top of that the Grizzlies just traded away Marshon and Selden so his minutes should be more secure as long as Holiday doesn’t suit up for the game.

Moe Harkless at $4200 is appealing here to me with the way he has performed of late. He has been playing 30+ minutes over the last 3 and he’s been playing well. They are going to need his length here to guard PG so he should continue to get extended run and hopefully continue his streak of near 30 fantasy point performances going.

If I don’t end up using KCP listed above in this spot, then another play I will be considering is Jeff Green. His price is coming up, but he is on a roll and it seems that Otto is going to be brought on slowly. As long as we can continue to project him for arounf 35 minutes he is viable in all formats.

Power Forwards:

John Collins at $7500 is too cheap. Now there is blowout risk for sure, but if the Hawks have any chance in this game it will have something to do with Collins. This Bucks team is solid, but we also saw them get destroyed by Thad Young who plays the same position.

Back to the Memphis game for this one where Jaren Jackson Jr. is priced at $5600. High risk high reward. He should dominate here as long as he stays out of foul trouble, which for him has been a tall ask this year.

Richaun Holmes at $3400 should be a fairly contrarian pick with the way Ayton has been playing. He is a solid punt and could get extra run if Ayton gets shook by the big Boban again. If the Suns get blown out he should get that run too which gives him more opportunities to pay off this price tag.


Way to many centers in good spots on this slate that it is tough to narrow down. With all the viable value in other positions I think I will be spending up here starting with Karl-Anthony Towns at $9900. He is playing great and has had a usage rate in the 33% range with Teague and Rose off the court. Orlando is not a great rebounding team either and he gets to come home for this one where he plays better historically. Going to be hard for me to pass on him.

If I do pass on KAT, the center on the other side of him is a great play himself. Nikola Vucevic is $9300 now after coming off his peak of $9800 two games ago. KAT is not a great defender and he should get his usual 32-36 minutes considering this game stays competitive.

My 3rd pick was going to be Gasol, but everyone knows that playing centers against Brooklyn is always in play, so I’m going to list Boban here to throw in a punt play at center. His minutes are hard to trust, but in the two games against Phoenix this year he got 17 and 19 minutes of run. Definitely worth a look in GPPs for me, but he does also come with the opportunity cost of taking up the center or utility spot where there are so many viable plays today.

Good talk and good luck

NBA DFS – 1/3/2019

Apologies for the long hiatus over the holidays and then some. Let’s get back into it. 3 games on this Friday eve.

TOR @ SA (-1.5) o/u 216

TOR: Mr. Leonard returns to San Antonio. Gotta love the narrative in this one. His price at 8.8k seems too cheap, but you also know Pop is going to have some gameplan to try and stop him. The question is will he be able to? I don’t really think so, but again it comes down to how motivated Kawhi is in this one. Siakam is playing well and has a fair price for the upside. Let’s not forget this is a revenge spot for Danny Green as well and he is at 4k only. I like him more than all the Rockets players in a similar range.

Tier 1: Kawhi, Green, Siakam
Tier 2: Serge
Tier 3:

SA: Derozan and Poeltl are on the home side of the narrative so the lock button isn’t out just yet. Still, Derozan is just too cheap here. LMA has been playing very well of late and is also too cheap, but I don’t think I will end up on him too much more as a product of roster construction. White has been playing well and is priced just above all the Rockets secondary plays. I do prefer him over said Rockets if I need someone in the 4.5k range. Poeltl should get 20 minutes here as long as Gay, who’s doubtful currently, sits out again.

Tier 1: Derozan, LMA
Tier 2: Poeltl, White
Tier 3:

DEN @ SAC (+3.5) o/u 227

DEN: Going to be hard to pass on the Joker here after Nurkic just feasted in the same spot. He should dominate this game inside and out as WCS is showing that he is not a great defender. Millsap and Harris are back and do need some consideration. If either of them trend to the 25 minute mark they can still exceed value in this spot. Pay attention to news around that. With the uncertainty going in they should be used in tournaments over cash games. Murray’s price came down some, but he is also in a good spot here. He has great upside as we saw a couple games ago for me will also be reserved for GPPs.

Tier 1: Jokic, Murray (GPP), Millsap (GPP)
Tier 2: Beasley, Plumlee, Harris (GPP)
Tier 3:

SAC: Fox had an awful game last time out which should drive his ownership down here. This is still a good spot against Murray and he’s definitely still in play with the 7.5k price tag. Bogdan looks like my favorite play right now though from the Kings side with his 5.8k price. He has been rolling and getting good run of late even with Hield healthy. Bjelica is fairly priced here, but I would rather take the $100 savings and take a chance on Millsap. WCS is going to have his hands full here and I just don’t trust him a whole lot right now. With his price up to 6.5k I feel like there are better plays out there.

Tier 1: Bogdan
Tier 2: Fox
Tier 3: WCS, Bjelica

HOU @ GS (-8.5) o/u 225

HOU: No CP3, no Gordon, Ennis is back, but still… play Harden. Harden produces around 1.7 fantasy points per min (fppm) with CP3 off the court and has a massive usage rate of over 44% on average over the last 5 games. Now he does have a tough matchup as Klay, Iggy, and KD will all be honing in on him, but he has so much upside it’s hard to fade him completely. Outside of Harden there isn’t a whole lot to like. Capela is coming down in price and could be worth a look, but with Nene in the rotation his minutes have taken a hit. Ennis is interesting here as a min punt play. Outside of that you get a mix of House, Green, Rivers, and Tucker all priced above 4k and not standing out as must plays themselves.

Tier 1: Harden. Ennis (punt GPP play, bump down if word of a minutes limit comes out), Capela
Tier 2: Tucker, House (he has had good history against the Warriors for whatever that’s worth), GG, Rivers
Tier 3:

GS: Draymond is way too cheap here. I will be surprised if he is not the highest owned play on DK tomorrow. Iggy should get more run here to help guard Harden and is worth a look at 4k, especially if you don’t like Danny Green at the same price. Curry has been the better of the two between he and KD over the last few games. I like him more in this matchup with CP3 out and Tucker/Ennis most likely worrying about KD and Klay. If Rivers is going to see extended run and be matched with Curry, Rivers is going to be in for a long night.

Tier 1: Curry, Dray
Tier 2: Klay, KD, Iggy, Jerebko
Tier 3:

Good talk and good luck

NBA DFS – 12/18/2018

Happy Tuesday. Let’s get back in the grind of things on this 4 game slate.

CLE @ IND (-12.5) o/u 207

CLE: Not an appealing spot for the Cavs here. Blowout risk is definitely real with this one, and no one stands out as a great value play. With everyone priced fairly and no one in a real good spot, it’s probably be best to look elsewhere. Nance could get extended run, but it almost feels that the Cavs are doing anything they can to not play him extended minutes. If we get word of a lineup change with Nance starting then he will have some appeal. Other than that Cedi is a GPP dart, and Deli has a bit of appeal here as the only true point guard on this team.

Tier 1:
Tier 2: Cedi (GPP), Deli (GPP)
Tier 3: Nance

IND: Not much appeal on this side either with the potential blowout. Collison is coming back down in price so he could be worth a look here, but even then I don’t feel confident about playing him. If this turns to a blowout early we could see a lot of Cory Joseph and Doug McDermott if you need some GPP value plays. If you think this game stays close then you can look to Dipo as well in GPPs. Still considerable risk here and the low 207 point total does not garner much appeal..

Tier 1:
Tier 2: Dipo (if you think it stays competitive), Joseph/McDermott (if you think it blows out)
Tier 3:

LAL @ BKN (+2.5) o/u 228

LAL: The Lakers are all priced up now except for McGee and Lebron it seems like. Ball is way up to $6500 now which pretty much takes him out of consideration for me. Kuzma is still too high here as well at $7500, but at least he has been fairly consistent of late minus the last 2 games. Hart and KCP are both in the low 4s now which takes away a lot of the upside we had when they were cheaper. If McGee plays I will have a lot of exposure to him, and if he sits Tyson becomes one of the best value plays on this slate.

Tier 1: Lebron James, McGee
Tier 2: Ball (GPP), Hart, KCP (GPP)
Tier 3: Kuzma

BKN: Crabbe has missed the last 2 games so depending if he is in or out for this will determine how we attack Brooklyn. If he sits again then Kurucs gets the start and is worth a look as a punt play. Harris, Carroll, and RHJ all get a bump in minutes and usage if he’s out again too. If he plays then Crabbe is worth a look as long as there is no word of a minutes limit. Regardless of if he’s in or out, Russell and Dinwiddie are way to expensive for me and should only be reserved for GPP plays. Last but not least is my favorite play of the Nets, Jarrett Allen. At only 5.5k he is viable in all formats.

Tier 1: Jarrett Allen
Tier 2: Kurucs (if Crabbe is out), Harris (if Crabbe is out), Crabbe (if he plays), Carroll
Tier 3: RHJ

WAS @ ATL (+4.5) o/u 235

WAS: Wizards kinda looked decent last game as they blew out the Lakers. Now they get a much easier opponent in the Hawks. Otto Porter is out for at least a week, but they should have newly acquired Ariza ready to suit up and possibly start. With no more Oubre or Rivers this team is going to be fairly thin so even with the prices being inflated they still need a lot of consideration here.

Tier 1: Wall, Beal, Green, Ariza (GPP)
Tier 2: Morris, Bryant (GPP), Satoransky
Tier 3:

ATL: These teams also just played each other earlier this month and had lots of value. Prices have inflated since then, but they are still in play as this is still as good of a spot as it was against the Wizards the first time. Dedmon’s price is way up to 5.6k after having a few good games and consistent minutes. Bazemore is also fairly priced at 6.3k. John Collins seems too pricey for me, and Trae is borderline with Lin healthy. Trae has huge upside, but he plays bad so often that with Lin available his minutes are not guaranteed.

Tier 1: Bazemore, Dedmon, Bembry
Tier 2: Huerter, Young (GPP), Lin, Collins (GPP)
Tier 3: Len (GPP)

DAL @ DEN (-5) o/u 207

DAL: Another low total on the board that makes this game less appealing compared to the other two right off the start. DSJ is listed as doubtful for this game, so if he is out I would expect Brunson to get the start again and get minutes around the 30 mark. Barea is also questionable for this one so pay attention to that. If he sits that will bump up Brunson more along with Doncic and Devin Harris off the bench. Barnes also seems a bit too cheap here if you want to take a shot on him here in a decent spot with Millsap out and Lyles starting for him.

Tier 1: Brunson, Barnes (GPP)
Tier 2: DJ, Doncic
Tier 3: Dirk (GPP)

DEN: Lots of injuries have left this team looking like the Celtics of last year. Lyles should get the start for this one and is in consideration at 4.2k. Plumlee is too expensive here at $5400 as he’s priced more as if Jokic was out.. Jokic and Murray dominate the usage of the starters while Morris does the same with the bench unit. Those 3 are my favorite plays today as they should all get their full allotment of minutes with all the injuries.

Tier 1: Morris, Jokic, Murray, Lyles
Tier 2: Juancho
Tier 3: Craig

Good talk and good luck

NBA DFS – 12/15/2018

Happy 6 game Saturday, let’s get it

LAL @ CHA (+2) o/u 227

LAL: Lebron’s history against Charlotte is hard to ignore, and at 10.7k he seems too cheap to try and avoid completely. Ball is another play that seems too cheap here with Rondo still out making his minutes in the 34-36 range secure. McGee is currently questionable so if he sits Tyson Chandler becomes a great punt play at $3600. Kuzma is too pricey for me, but he has been playing well of late.

Tier 1: Lebron, Ball
Tier 2: McGee, Hart
Tier 3: Kuzma

CHA: The Hornets just played an OT game last night and now get a pace up matchup with the Lakers. Lamb is too cheap here at $5300 only. Batum finally had a good game, but it was also his birthday yesterday so if you play him then hopefully he didn’t over indulge last night. Zeller is also in play here as centers against the Lakers have been a solid play this year.

Tier 1: Zeller, Lamb
Tier 2: Batum
Tier 3:

BOS @ DET (+2.5) o/u 214

BOS: Boston is also on a back to back here after playing beating Atlanta easily last night. Baynes is most likely on a minutes restriction still else he would be one to target with Horford out. Hopefully this game can stay competitive so we see Kyrie and company get their full workload. Hayward is a sneaky play here to me at his price point and should go overlooked especially with him coming off the bench.

Tier 1: Hayward (GPP)
Tier 2: Kyrie, Baynes (sounding like he doesn’t have a minutes restriction tonight)
Tier 3: Robert Williams (GPP), Theis

DET: I don’t have much interest in the Pistons here. Drummond and Reggie Jackson are worth a look, but are more in play because of their prices. Ish still out makes Reggie Jackson’s minutes more secure while Zaza being out bumps up Drummond a couple himself.

Tier 1:
Tier 2: Drummond, Reggie Jackson
Tier 3:

HOU @ MEM (+3.5) o/u 201

HOU: This is setting up to be a very slow paced game, and the slowest on this slate by a wide margin. No one stands out here to me. Eric Gordon is questionable so if he sits then you could bump up GG and House a bit, but I still won’t really be looking to them for much.

Tier 1:
Tier 2: Harden, GG (if Gordon ruled out)
Tier 3:

MEM: Much like the Rockets there isn’t much I like here. Anderson and Conley are listed as questionable so if they sit that could open up some value between Mack, MarShon, and Selden. Temple is intriguing at his cheap price tag. He shot well last game and is locked into 30+ minutes every night.

Tier 1: Temple (GPP), Mack (only a play if Conley is out)
Tier 2: Conley, Gasol, Anderson, Green (bump up if Anderson is out)
Tier 3:

CHI @ SA (-11) o/u 214

CHI: No LaVine tonight so Dunn has moved into the starting lineup. Jabari is seemingly out of the rotation now for who knows why. If Dunn gets closer to 30 minutes tonight he becomes my favorite play from this team. Markkannen has a bad matchup defensively with Gay, but he should be fine getting his shots off against him. Holiday should get a bump here in minutes with LaVine being out too.

Tier 1: Dunn (GPP), Markkannen
Tier 2: Harrison, Arcidiacono, Holiday
Tier 3:

SA: Blowout potential here once again for the Spurs as they are 11 point favorites. LMA is going to be the target here. He is still too cheap and he can easily dominate in limited minutes to pay off the price tag. If he somehow gets closer to 30 minutes he has lots of upside. Demar is priced a bit too high for me while White could be a look as a punt play if you need it.

Tier 1: LMA, White
Tier 2: Demar, Gay
Tier 3:

LAC @ OKC (-6.5) o/u 224

LAC: Whoever PG guards between Harris and Gallo, I would rather have the other one. Regardless, Tobias seems too cheap here at 7k. Yeah he has had a couple down games, but that was due to blowouts. This one should stay closer if not for any other reason than OKC is on a back to back. Gallinari is also in play here at his $6300 price tag, but again if I’m only playing one I do prefer Harris more. Outside of them I don’t have much appeal for anyone in the backcourt. Beverley is the cheapest so maybe go there if you have to.

Tier 1: Gallinari, Harris
Tier 2: Boban (if he starts), Beverley
Tier 3:

OKC: Westbrook is still probably pissed off from last night’s tough loss to the Nuggets. He’s definitely in play especially if you don’t want to play the chalky Lebron. PG is also in play here as they really have no one that can match with him. His price has come up so that should keep him lower owned. Grant is also fairly cheap and worth some exposure here.

Tier 1: PG, Adams
Tier 2: Westbrook, Grant
Tier 3:

MIN @ PHO (+7.5) o/u 217

MIN: No Taj tonight so that means Saric is going to be the chalkiest play at $4200. KAT is also in a great spot even with his $9800 price tag. Ayton has not played defense this year as centers have routinely gone off against the Suns. Covington’s price has also come down to playable territory again as long as he suits up. The other play I like here is Rose. This game could easily be played with Cov at the 4 and a lot of 2 point guard sets. He’s in good form and in a good spot for GPPs especially

Tier 1: Covington, KAT, Saric, Rose
Tier 2: Wiggins, Teague
Tier 3:

PHO: Suns got a deal done for Ariza and in return they get Oubre and Rivers from the Wizards. Warren is going to be an extremely popular play, but I do have some concern for him at 6.6k. Part of that concern was mentioned above in Cov playing the 4 and matching up with him. He should be fine against Saric defense all day, but Cov is a good defender that will slow him down. Booker is also set to return here so that lowers the usage a bit for Warren and Melton.

Tier 1: Holmes (GPP)
Tier 2: Warren, Bridges
Tier 3: Booker, Josh Jackson

Good talk and good luck

NBA DFS – 12/13/2018

Happy Friday eve the 13th. 4 game slate.. let’s get it

LAL @ HOU (-5.5) o/u 223

LAL: Houston has actually played decent defense at home and are playing at a slow pace this year making this not a great matchup for the Lakers. Lebron is going to be matched up against Tucker in this one which means Kuzma is going to have Gordon or Harden on him. Ball is too cheap again here and in play even though it isn’t a great matchup against CP3. Hart too should get 30+ minutes, but he’s also not a high usage player and will have the task of trying to slow down Harden.

Tier 1: Lebron, Ball (GPP)
Tier 2: Hart, KCP, Chandler, Kuzma (GPP)
Tier 3: McGee (GPP)

HOU: Now on the other end this is a great matchup for the Rockets. Harden is $100 cheaper than the King, but he gets a pace up matchup at home. CP3 came way up after having a good game last time out, but Harden dominates usage while he is on the court so that leaves little room for upside at his price tag. Capela has been losing some minutes to Nene, but is still a great play on this 4 game slate. Ennis is out for this one so GG and House should get some run. Brandon Knight is also set to make his debut after being out for almost 2 years. I do have some interest in him and will have some exposure in GPPs.

Tier 1: Capela, Harden
Tier 2: CP3, Knight (GPP), Gordon (GPP), GG, Tucker
Tier 3:


LAC @ SA (-2) o/u 223

LAC: The Clippers get a much better matchup tonight after getting smacked by the Raptors in their last game. Lou Will is still out for this one so the guard rotation should open up a bit for Bradley, SGA, and Beverley. The Spurs are better defensively at home, but this is still a pretty good matchup. I expect this game to stay competitive and Tobias is going to be the first player I target here. SGA and Beverley will be my next favorite plays with Lou being out. This is a Boban revenge game for anyone who wants a narrative. I can’t really see him get much time though especially if the Spurs start LMA at center.

Tier 1: Tobias
Tier 2: SGA, Gallo, Harrell
Tier 3: Beverley, Boban

SA: Honestly I was somewhat surprised the Spurs actually did what they were supposed to do and blowout the Suns. Let’s see if they can go back to back against the Clips. Forbes has had back to back 30+ minutes and good games. I still don’t have confidence in him though and don’t expect that play to continue. LMA probably has the best matchup at center, but Derozan and Gay are in plus matchups themselves against Bradley and Tobias respectively. I like all three in this one especially if it indeed does stay competitive and they can get their full minutes.

Tier 1: LMA, Derozan, Gay
Tier 2: Forbes, White
Tier 3: Mills, Poeltl

CHI @ ORL (-4.5) o/u 209

CHI: The Bulls are getting healthy now which means they are losing their appeal in DFS. Dunn and Portis will most likely be on a minutes restriction again, but if you want to gamble on one I’d lean toward Dunn who only has to beat out Arcidiacono for minutes. Wendell and LaVine seem like they should get 30 minutes regularly still so they are in play here for the moment.

Tier 1: LaVine, Carter Jr. 
Tier 2: Dunn (GPP), Markkannen, Holiday
Tier 3: Portis (GPP)

ORL: Both of these teams are bad so it should be a good game. Vooch is one of my favorite plays, if not my favorite play of this slate. His price has come down since he hasn’t been getting as much run in blowout scenarios, so this is a nice spot for him to see full minutes and get back to 50 burgers. Fournier and Simmons are questionable for this game so follow that to see if they are in or out. If they are out then Isaac and Ross should get more run and viable plays. Gordon has been playing well, but I just can’t get myself to pay up to $7800 for him with Kuzma, Harris, and LMA all cheaper and in just as good of spots.

Tier 1: Vooch
Tier 2: Isaac/Ross (if Simmons/Fournier sit), Augustin
Tier 3:

DAL @ PHO (+7) o/u 211

DAL: Barea may be out for this one after spraining his ankle last night so that would bump up Brunson and Devin Harris. DSJ I assume will be out again so Brunson should still be starting. He struggled last game, but should bounce back here against a weak Phoenix team, especially if Barea is out. Deandre is in a great spot here as Ayton is getting a reputation of not playing defense. Dirk should make his debut soon so that’s another piece of news to watch out for. As of right now I am assuming he’s not playing..

Tier 1: DJ, Brunson (if Barea and DSJ are out)
Tier 2: Doncic, Devin Harris (if Barea and DSJ are out)
Tier 3:

PHO: Melton is giving the Suns a much needed spark these last few games. I expect him to be very chalky again even at the 4.9k price tag. Make sure Booker is out and Okobo is still in the G league before firing him up. Troy Daniels is questionable too for this one, so that could mean even more minutes for Melton and Bridges. Ariza did sit out last game for “rest” so I will consider him in for now. Warren is looking like my favorite play from the Suns as he’s the only consistently competent player as long as he’s healthy and not getting ejected.

Tier 1: Warren, Melton
Tier 2: Ariza, Evans (GPP)
Tier 3: Daniels, Bridges

Good talk and good luck

NBA DFS – 12/12/2018

Back to the big slate and back to breaking it down by position. Here are my plays from first glance that stand out. Obviously there will probably be a lot of news coming out so adjust accordingly as that comes out. Here we go

Point Guards:

Russell Westbrook $10900 @ NO – Pelicans play at on e of the fastest paces in the league so this spot is perfect. Add that to a price tag under 11k and it is going to be hard to pass on Russ here.

Tim Frazier $4100 vs OKC – Tim’s price didn’t move here and he’s still playing 30+ minutes a game. Can’t ignore him again, plus I like targeting the point guards against Russ.

Ricky Rubio $5900 vs MIA – Miami offers a good matchup and Rubio just got a price decrease of $400 as he returns home to play in Utah. What’s not to like?

DeAaron Fox $7300 vs MIN – What does the Fox say? I don’t care, but I do know this guy is on a roll. I don’t think Teague will be able to keep up

John Wall $8400 vs BOS – People may shy away from here which only raises the appeal I have. Good pivot off of Kyrie if you don’t want to go there.

Kyrie Irving $8500 @ WAS – Great matchup versus the Wizards and he should be well rested after sitting out last game.

Goran Dragic $5700 @ UTA – He feels to cheap here at this price. With everyone healthy though he may not get a full workload so this play does have more risk than I’d like

T.J. McConnell $3500 vs BKN – since Fultz has been diagnosed with his nerve condition and the Sixers trading for Jimmy Buter, McConnell has slowly worked his way into getting solid minutes. Like him here especially if Butler ends up sitting out

Jalen Brunson $3800 vs ATL – DSJ is already ruled out for the game today so that means Brunson should continue to see high 20s to low 30s in minutes. Hard to not like that against this Hawks team who features a point guard in Trae Young that doesn’t play defense